Union Innsbruck vs SPG Sprutz / Serfaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
45%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
16º
13º
41
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 3
VOL
32%
22%
45%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
IAC
2 - 0
UNI
57%
19%
25%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
WIN
5%
12%
83%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
2 - 3
UNI
20%
18%
62%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
5 - 1
SVI
68%
16%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPG Sprutz / Serfaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
IAC
2 - 2
SPG
52%
20%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
6 - 1
SCM
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EBB
6 - 0
SPG
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
5 - 0
SCM
34%
22%
45%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KIR
3 - 4
SPG
25%
20%
54%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |