Unión Estepona vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Estepona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 2
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
EST
2 - 2
SRQ
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AGD
0 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
POL
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BET
1 - 3
EST
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUC
4 - 0
YEC
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
3 - 0
LUC
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 0
MUR
17%
25%
58%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUC
28%
29%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 1
RJA
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |