Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Unión Española vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
HUA
3 - 1
UNI
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
HUA
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COL
0 - 2
UNI
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
COL
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
UCH
1 - 4
UNI
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
CSD
1 - 1
HUA
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 0
CSD
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
IQU
0 - 1
CSD
63%
20%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
CSD
1 - 0
IQU
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
CSD
2 - 2
ANT
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |