União São João vs Osvaldo Cruz analysis


47	ELO	28
14%	Tilt	17.2%
4199º	General ELO ranking	29200º
143º	Country ELO ranking	758º
ELO win probability

82.4%

União São João

11.6%

Draw

6%

Osvaldo Cruz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

82.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%

11.6%

Draw

0-0

2.7%

1-1

5.5%

2-2

2.7%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

0

11.6%

6%

Win probability

0.69

Expected goals

0-1

1.9%

1-2

1.9%

2-3

0.6%

3-4

0.1%

4-5

0%

-1

4.5%

0-2

0.6%

1-3

0.4%

2-4

0.1%

3-5

0%

-2

1.2%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0.1%

2-5

0%

-3

0.2%

0-4

0%

1-5

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

União São João

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
24 Jan. 2007	UNI 1 - 0 SAO 57% 21% 23%	46	47	1	0
21 Jan. 2007	SEP 1 - 1 UNI 23% 21% 56%	47	36	11	-1
03 Sep. 2005	RIO 2 - 0 UNI 52% 23% 25%	48	51	3	-1
27 Aug. 2005	UNI 1 - 1 AME 42% 25% 33%	48	56	8	0
20 Aug. 2005	UNI 4 - 0 BOA 49% 24% 27%	47	51	4	+1