União de Leiria vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
SLB
1 - 0
UDL
85%
11%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 4
FEI
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
UDL
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 0
GFC
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 1
SCP
14%
24%
62%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
GFC
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VST
0 - 3
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 3
SCP
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 4
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIO
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |