Unia Skierniewice vs Świt Skolwin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
11º
11º
11
3º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
11 | 57 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 55 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 54 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 53 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 52 |
5º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 52 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 51 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 50 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 48 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 47 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 46 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 41 |
13º
|
5.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 40 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 39 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 38 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 30 |
18º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 10% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unia Skierniewice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
ZAG
0 - 3
USK
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
USK
1 - 2
OLI
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
USK
2 - 1
WAR
34%
29%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
USK
1 - 2
PGM
25%
22%
54%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
PLW
2 - 0
USK
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Świt Skolwin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
SKO
1 - 1
WAR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
SKO
1 - 1
LKS
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
SKO
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
SKO
0 - 3
KAL
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
CHR
2 - 2
SKO
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |