K-League Classic Normal Season Round 4

Ulsan HD FC vs Jeju United analysis

Ulsan HD FC Jeju United
76 ELO 75
2.9% Tilt -8.5%
1127º General ELO ranking 1052º
18º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
46.4%
Ulsan HD FC
25.8%
Draw
27.8%
Jeju United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
Ulsan HD FC
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.8%
Win probability
Jeju United
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ulsan HD FC
-8%
-9%
Jeju United

Points and table prediction

Ulsan HD FC
Their league position
Jeju United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
31
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
63
70
100%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
46
53
46%
Daejeon Citizen
45
52
32.5%
Pohang Steelers
44
51
31.5%
FC Seoul
40
47
33.5%
Gangwon FC
38
45
30.5%
Gwangju FC
38
45
24%
Ulsan HD FC
34
41
22%
FC Anyang
33
40
21%
Suwon FC
10º
31
38
10º
21.5%
Jeju United
11º
31
38
11º
34.5%
Daegu FC
12º
19
26
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ulsan HD FC
Jeju United
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
59.5% 38.5%
Relegation play-offs
40.5% 61.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ulsan HD FC
Jeju United
Pohang Steelers
FC Anyang
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ulsan HD FC
Ulsan HD FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2025
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
1 - 0
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
JEO
47%
26%
28%
76 76 0 0
23 Feb. 2025
DCI
Daejeon Citizen
0 - 2
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
45%
27%
28%
76 76 0 0
16 Feb. 2025
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
0 - 1
FC Anyang
FCA
49%
25%
27%
76 74 2 0
12 Feb. 2025
BUR
Buriram United
2 - 1
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
25%
23%
52%
75 59 16 +1
24 Jan. 2025
LOK
Lokomotiv Moskva
0 - 1
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
65%
20%
15%
75 82 7 0

Matches

Jeju United
Jeju United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2025
GAN
Gangwon FC
0 - 0
Jeju United
JEJ
45%
26%
29%
76 76 0 0
22 Feb. 2025
JEJ
Jeju United
2 - 3
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
41%
27%
33%
76 76 0 0
15 Feb. 2025
JEJ
Jeju United
2 - 0
FC Seoul
FCS
42%
27%
31%
76 76 0 0
27 Jan. 2025
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
4 - 3
Jeju United
JEJ
56%
22%
22%
75 79 4 +1
24 Nov. 2024
DCI
Daejeon Citizen
2 - 1
Jeju United
JEJ
43%
27%
30%
76 76 0 -1