UPDF vs Bright Stars FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
UPD
2 - 1
SCV
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
URA
2 - 1
UPD
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
UPD
1 - 1
KCC
37%
27%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
EXP
1 - 0
UPD
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
UPD
1 - 1
MYD
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bright Stars FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 1
BRI
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 1
VIP
43%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
OND
0 - 0
BRI
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BUL
0 - 1
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 1
MCF
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |