Udinese vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VER
1 - 0
UDI
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
UDI
0 - 1
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
UDI
0 - 1
VNZ
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
UDI
3 - 0
LEG
89%
9%
2%
|
77 | 32 | 45 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
UDI
3 - 2
VIC
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SPE
1 - 4
SAS
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SPE
5 - 0
PIS
83%
13%
5%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 1
FRO
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
FRO
0 - 1
SPE
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
SPE
3 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |