Tuna Luso vs Paragominas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PAY
3 - 1
TUN
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 0
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 1
CAM
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 0
TUN
18%
21%
60%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 2
REM
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
AGU
34%
24%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
REM
3 - 2
PAR
65%
19%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
SCP
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 3
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 2
PAY
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |