Tuen Mun SA vs Kwun Tong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TMS
1 - 7
SHA
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MGS
2 - 0
TMS
38%
25%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
KWA
3 - 1
TMS
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TMS
2 - 1
SHS
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SHS
2 - 1
TMS
38%
23%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kwun Tong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
KWU
0 - 1
TCS
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
KWU
0 - 0
HVA
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
WAN
2 - 2
KWU
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HON
8 - 2
KWU
86%
9%
4%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
KWU
1 - 3
KWA
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |