Truro City vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HEM
2 - 1
WHI
38%
24%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 0
CHM
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BIS
0 - 3
WHI
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 1
EBB
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
WHI
4 - 2
HEM
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 1
EBB
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
OXF
1 - 1
BAT
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 1
GOS
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HEM
1 - 1
BAT
67%
19%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 1
BAT
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |