Troyes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 1
TRO
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
TRO
2 - 1
LMU
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
PFC
1 - 0
TRO
20%
28%
52%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
TRO
1 - 2
ORL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
AUX
1 - 2
TRO
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 0
LHA
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 0
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 2
GRE
51%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 0
VAL
44%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIO
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |