Troyes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
TRO
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
TRO
1 - 2
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
TRO
1 - 2
LHA
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
TRO
1 - 2
CLE
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
NIO
0 - 2
TRO
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 3
LHA
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
TRO
1 - 2
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CLE
1 - 1
LEN
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
LEN
2 - 0
GUI
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LMU
1 - 2
LEN
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |