Treze vs Serra Branca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+220%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
TRE
78%
16%
6%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 2
AUT
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
TRE
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 0
SPC
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
QUE
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
SOU
12%
18%
71%
|
10 | 46 | 36 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
NAC
9%
14%
78%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
AUT
0 - 1
SER
80%
13%
7%
|
6 | 33 | 27 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
AUT
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | -1 |