Trasandino vs Provincial Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trasandino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ACC
3 - 1
TRA
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 0
TOM
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
TRA
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 0
JOA
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RAS
1 - 2
TRA
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
OVA
2 - 1
DLI
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
OVA
0 - 2
CDP
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ACC
2 - 1
OVA
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
OVA
1 - 3
LAU
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TOM
0 - 2
OVA
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |