Trafford vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 1
TRA
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 1
RAM
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
TRA
5 - 1
GOO
74%
16%
11%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
FAR
3 - 4
TRA
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 2
HED
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LAN
2 - 1
HAR
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GOO
1 - 3
LAN
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 5
RAM
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 0
LAN
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MOS
2 - 0
LAN
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |