Confederation Cup . Semi-finals
Global 1-1
TP Mazembe vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 1
TPM
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
TPM
3 - 1
YOU
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MED
3 - 2
TPM
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
TPM
1 - 0
MOB
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MOB
0 - 0
TPM
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 1
TPM
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ZAR
0 - 3
ETO
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
FUR
0 - 0
ETO
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
ETO
0 - 1
ESP
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
ETO
3 - 1
KAW
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |