Tours vs Orléans II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.4%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
2.8%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
36
5º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
TOU
7%
17%
76%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TOU
4 - 1
DRO
89%
9%
2%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 2
TOU
11%
20%
69%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
4 - 0
MON
88%
10%
3%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CSL
1 - 2
TOU
7%
18%
75%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Orléans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 1
CHA
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ORL
3 - 2
SAI
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DRO
2 - 1
ORL
31%
24%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ORL
0 - 2
TOU
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ORL
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |