Torquay United vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
GUL
2 - 1
GIL
33%
27%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BRO
3 - 2
GUL
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
GUL
2 - 2
YEO
46%
24%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GUL
3 - 1
STA
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WYC
2 - 1
GUL
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 1
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 0
SOU
32%
27%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 4
PNE
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
BUR
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |