EFL Cup . 1/64
Global 2-1
Torquay United vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
BOU
0 - 1
GUL
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
DON
2 - 1
GUL
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
GUL
0 - 3
WIG
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
HER
1 - 1
GUL
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
GUL
1 - 2
BAR
39%
29%
32%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
OLD
2 - 1
BOU
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
BOU
1 - 0
WIG
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
BOU
0 - 1
GUL
73%
17%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
NOR
0 - 2
BOU
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
PLY
0 - 0
BOU
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |