Tormenta vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tormenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 2
CRW
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
GTR
1 - 0
TOR
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 1
LIG
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
ORL
1 - 4
TOR
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 0
TOR
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 1
TUC
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FMA
1 - 0
TUC
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CRW
1 - 1
TUC
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
GTR
1 - 3
TUC
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 2
TUC
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |