Torino vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1943 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
45%
23%
32%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 1
TOR
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
TOR
2 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
LAZ
2 - 3
TOR
50%
23%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
TOR
4 - 2
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1943 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
LIV
3 - 1
ACM
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
ACM
0 - 3
INT
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACM
28%
23%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ACM
3 - 2
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |