Tondela vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 3
TON
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
TON
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TON
0 - 3
LEX
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
TON
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
VSC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SPC
4 - 1
BEL
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
UNM
0 - 0
SPC
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 2
BEN
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
SPC
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 0
FEI
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |