Tondela vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
56.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 3
TON
66%
23%
12%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TON
1 - 3
VST
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TON
0 - 1
SPB
16%
26%
58%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
2 - 0
TON
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TON
0 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
68%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
BEL
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
SCP
3 - 1
PAÇ
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
SPB
1 - 1
PAÇ
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PAÇ
6 - 0
UNM
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 1
PAÇ
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |