Toluca vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 2
KCW
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 0
TOL
47%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
KCW
3 - 0
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
3 - 0
TOL
42%
25%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
VER
2 - 1
ZAC
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
VER
1 - 1
CAZ
22%
26%
51%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
VER
2 - 0
ZAC
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TIJ
3 - 0
VER
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
VER
0 - 2
TIG
14%
24%
62%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |