Toluca vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
EST
4 - 2
TOL
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PUM
1 - 2
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2005 |
VER
1 - 2
PAC
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ATL
5 - 1
VER
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VER
1 - 0
PUM
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 0
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
VER
1 - 1
MOR
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |