Liga MX Finals Cl. . Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 4
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 2
QRO
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TOL
40%
26%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 4
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 2
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
AME
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ATS
1 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |