Toluca vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATM
19%
25%
56%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CAZ
2 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
LEO
3 - 2
ALE
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 3
ATS
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
TIJ
0 - 0
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |