Tolosa CF vs Bergara KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CDT
2 - 2
TOL
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
ATX
34%
26%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALÑ
1 - 2
TOL
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ELG
1 - 0
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bergara KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HER
3 - 2
BKE
82%
13%
5%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BKE
0 - 2
ORD
30%
24%
46%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
REA
2 - 0
BKE
56%
23%
21%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BKE
2 - 1
ANT
48%
23%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BKE
1 - 2
OST
51%
23%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |