Todi vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Todi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
TOD
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TOD
0 - 1
VOL
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 2
TOD
52%
23%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TOD
1 - 3
SSD
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TOD
4 - 1
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PRG
0 - 1
PIA
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 0
PRG
16%
25%
60%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PRG
1 - 1
ARZ
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PRG
3 - 2
DER
75%
18%
7%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 3
PRG
18%
25%
58%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | +1 |