Tivoli Gardens vs Molynes United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
12º
11º
31
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 1
TRI
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 0
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 0
TRI
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 0
TRI
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 1
HAR
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Molynes United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MOL
0 - 0
HAR
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FSC
2 - 2
MOL
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
DFC
0 - 1
MOL
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 5
MPA
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CMF
1 - 0
MOL
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |