Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Croix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
THU
3 - 1
MIN
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
THU
1 - 1
PEO
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
THU
0 - 3
DES
19%
25%
56%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
WSA
1 - 1
THU
6%
14%
80%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
GBV
2 - 1
THU
27%
21%
52%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
St. Croix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
WSA
1 - 2
STC
14%
17%
69%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
STC
0 - 3
DES
10%
19%
72%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
STC
1 - 0
MIN
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PEO
1 - 1
STC
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
STC
1 - 0
MIN
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |