Thun vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
3º
2º
1
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 38 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 37 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 33 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 32 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 30 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 30 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 30 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 28 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 27 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 26 |
12º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
84% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
THU
2 - 1
LAU
43%
24%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
LUG
1 - 2
THU
44%
24%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
THU
4 - 1
FCA
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 4
THU
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2025 |
GCZ
1 - 2
BYM
4%
9%
87%
|
83 | 100 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
SER
1 - 1
GCZ
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 1
GCZ
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2025 |
GCZ
0 - 3
CEL
15%
19%
66%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
GCZ
2 - 3
FCL
38%
25%
38%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |