Thespa Gunma vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 1
THE
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
THE
1 - 1
SAG
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
VVA
4 - 1
THE
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
THE
1 - 0
MAT
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
THE
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 0
EHI
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
ALB
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 1
JUB
31%
27%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FAG
1 - 1
ALB
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 2
BLA
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |