The New Saints vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TNS
6 - 1
94%
5%
1%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
TNS
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 1
TNS
14%
19%
67%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
TNS
1 - 2
NEW
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TNS
4 - 0
ABE
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
7 - 1
CAR
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
BAR
69%
19%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |