The Lakes vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
54.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BAY
5 - 0
TLA
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TLA
1 - 1
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TLA
1 - 9
BRI
31%
22%
47%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
TLA
8%
13%
79%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
LOG
0 - 2
TLA
8%
14%
78%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GEO
4 - 3
MGH
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 2
GEO
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
GEO
2 - 1
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TOO
3 - 4
GEO
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
STO
2 - 2
GEO
10%
15%
76%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |