Thatcham Town vs Burnham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thatcham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
THA
2 - 0
SLO
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BRI
0 - 1
THA
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
OXF
2 - 3
THA
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
WEF
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
HIL
0 - 1
THA
47%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
WEF
1 - 2
BUR
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 3
UXB
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 2
SWI
41%
27%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MIL
1 - 2
BUR
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BUR
2 - 0
DID
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |