Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TMF
1 - 2
FUK
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TMF
1 - 2
MAT
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
TMF
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TMF
0 - 6
KAT
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
OSA
1 - 1
TMF
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
IWA
1 - 1
FAG
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FAG
3 - 0
TOC
55%
26%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ZWE
1 - 1
FAG
25%
28%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FAG
0 - 2
BLA
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FAG
1 - 1
TOC
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |