FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 5-4
Tavistock vs Shepton Mallet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavistock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TAV
2 - 1
FRO
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
TAV
3 - 0
HEN
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
TAV
0 - 0
PLY
13%
19%
68%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
TAV
10%
15%
75%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BIT
7 - 0
TAV
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Shepton Mallet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
SHE
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SHE
1 - 1
MEL
41%
22%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SHE
3 - 1
CAD
34%
22%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 0
SHE
39%
22%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SHE
1 - 1
WIL
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |