Tanzania vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MDG
1 - 1
TZA
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
TZA
0 - 3
COD
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
TZA
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TZA
0 - 1
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
TZA
3 - 2
MDG
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
UGA
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 1
KEN
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 0
RWA
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 1
UGA
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
MLI
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |