Swindon Town vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 0
SWI
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 3
GIL
35%
25%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
STF
0 - 1
SWI
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SWI
2 - 1
ROC
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 4
SWI
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 3
DON
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 4
MIL
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
COL
0 - 2
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 1
BCF
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |