Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
WYC
0 - 3
SWI
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
0 - 3
SWI
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 1
BRI
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
POS
4 - 2
SWI
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
POR
3 - 3
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 1
WRE
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
4 - 1
PLY
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
STO
1 - 1
OLD
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 1
POS
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 1
OLD
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |