Horn vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
SVH
3 - 3
AMS
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
MAT
0 - 0
SVH
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
SVH
1 - 2
FAC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
OST
1 - 1
SVH
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
SVH
3 - 1
ADM
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 1
WUR
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
AMS
2 - 4
PAR
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 0
MAT
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
FAC
0 - 2
PAR
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 2
OST
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |