SK Super Nova vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
79%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
89
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
SUP
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
VAL
7%
16%
78%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
SUP
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKJ
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SUP
82%
13%
4%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
BFC
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
RIG
40%
23%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
4 - 5
RIG
18%
22%
60%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
AUD
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
LIE
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |