Sunderland vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 0
SUN
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 1
TOT
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ASV
2 - 2
SUN
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
SUN
6 - 3
EXE
74%
19%
8%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SUN
1 - 1
SWA
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 2
WHU
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 2
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRY
0 - 1
MAC
14%
20%
66%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 0
WAT
86%
10%
4%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EVE
0 - 2
MAC
18%
22%
60%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |