Sturm Graz vs SV Ried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
2º
18
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
FEY
22%
22%
56%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RBS
0 - 0
STR
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 1
STR
16%
20%
64%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
STR
3 - 2
WOL
40%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
LAZ
2 - 2
STR
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SCA
0 - 0
RIE
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 3
RIE
16%
21%
63%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 0
RAP
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 2
RIE
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RIE
2 - 3
ALT
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |