Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ALL
1 - 1
STR
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
STR
1 - 0
CWB
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
PET
5 - 2
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
STR
1 - 4
RAI
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
STR
3 - 1
BRE
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
PET
8 - 0
FOR
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 3
GRE
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
CWB
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
STI
3 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 1
AYR
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |