Stranraer vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
46.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
DUN
3 - 0
STR
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
STR
2 - 1
DUN
42%
23%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
STR
3 - 1
FOR
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GLA
3 - 0
STR
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
STR
1 - 2
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUM
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DUM
4 - 1
HAM
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DUM
0 - 3
QOS
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RAI
1 - 3
DUM
47%
24%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
DUM
4 - 1
ALL
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |