Stockport County vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 2
STO
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
STO
1 - 2
BRA
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
STO
1 - 0
GAI
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NUN
1 - 1
STO
41%
28%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
STO
2 - 4
WOK
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
STO
1 - 2
BRA
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
ALF
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
UNM
2 - 3
BRA
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
STA
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 3
BRA
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |